Pardon Me for a Horrifying but Obvious Prediction


Well, that was nice.

Trump Says He Is Open to a Path to Citizenship for ‘Dreamers’

WASHINGTON — President Trump said on Wednesday that he is open to a path to citizenship after 10 to 12 years for hundreds of thousands of undocumented immigrants brought to the United States as children, days after rejecting a bipartisan plan with that as its centerpiece.

Mr. Trump once again seemed to undercut his administration’s message, telling reporters at the White House that he would allow the young immigrants, known as Dreamers, to “morph into” citizens over a period of time.

The reporters had gathered for a briefing from a senior official detailing the administration’s plans to stick to a restrictive immigration agenda when the president dropped in unprompted, shortly before departing for Davos, Switzerland, pre-empting the official.

“Over a period of 10 to 12 years,” Mr. Trump said, “somebody does a great job, they work hard — that gives incentive to do a great job. Whatever they’re doing, if they do a great job, I think it’s a nice thing to have the incentive of, after a period of years, being able to become a citizen.”

But here is Trump’s problem:

“A slice of the public bucks popular sentiment for young undocumented immigrants, underscoring the conflicted feelings over the issue that has stymied Congress for years.”

And that’s the very “slice” to which Trump will desperately cling when the Mueller shit hits the fan. That’s the “slice of the public” being told by Fox News and the Russian bots about the Deep State Conspiracy.

Trump won’t want to see any more headlines like the one from Britbart “News” shown above.

If Trump loses his little slice of the public, if he loses Fox, if he loses Breitbart, then his goose is well and truly cooked.

And Donald Trump is not a man to agonize over the choice between common decency and self-interest.

So I am afraid that as soon as Mueller finishes his work, ICE is going to start showing up for the Dreamers.


Driving a Wedge, or, DACA and the Coming Three-Party System


This morning David Atkins asks a good question:

In the ninth month of his presidency, it seems clear that Donald Trump is motivated by little more than bigotry, narcissism, dominance posturing, and the desire to anger anyone with a sense of basic decency. Today’s reported decision to end the DACA program with only a six-month delay fits all of those criteria. But at what point does a policy of vindictive, malignant belligerence sow the seeds of its own destruction?

As I said, it’s a good rhetorical question, but it has an answer: at the point where the policy of malignant belligerence finally drives a wedge between the plutocrats and the rubes they have been deceiving for so many decades.

The deplorables—the rubes and the bigots—make up about one quarter to one third of the electorate. It is said that many of them are growing tired of Trump’s act. If that is so, it’s about damn time.

But, regrettably, having grown tired of Trump’s act, the rubes and the bigots will nevertheless remain rubes and bigots. With or without Trump, they will need their own political party, and they will surely have their own political party. And that’s good: better that they have their own political party than that they should riot in the streets.

But what of the country club Republicans and the Wall Street globalist Republicans? Methinks their long game of deceiving the rubes with shiny objects has at least played out. Trump’s  DACA decision should advance the ball by creating new and painful dilemmas for the party of the plutocrats. Atkins writes,

Rather than simply end DACA outright or continue it outright, [Trump] is giving a six-month window to end it. This functionally means kicking the can to Congress, which will be forced to decide the issue of DACA’s renewal. This will not please Republicans in the House and Senate, most of whom know that the party’s post-Trump future with Hispanic voters depends on them distancing themselves from the barbaric cruelty of Trump and his red state attorneys general, but who also cannot afford to upset Trump’s white nationalist base. Congressional Republicans will also be dealing with a full scale revolt not just from the expected left-leaning advocacy groups and mass protests, but from corporate America as well. Just today Apple CEO Tim Cook made it clear that his company stands with the Dreamers. Expect most of the rest of corporate America to follow suit in the coming months.

But it’s even worse than that. Trump’s calculus is likely to use DACA kids as a hostage, a bargaining chip to hold against Congress in exchange for Trump’s other unpopular priorities including his border wall and tax cuts for the rich. This puts Republicans in Congress in a double bind: either support funding for a pointless and unpopular wall, or take the blame from the President and from Democrats for killing DACA.

It is an untenable position. As the song says, something’s gotta give.

The corporatist/globalist/plutocrats need their own political party, and I think they will soon be forced to create it. Deprived of their beloved strategy of dangling shiny objects in front of poor white people, the plutocratic party will have to look for support in the other direction—from the kind of people who love Chuck Shumer, the kind of people who don’t see anything exceptional when Hillary or Bill gives a half million speech to Goldman Sachs.

And that will leave a new, or newly invigorated, progressive party on the left.

And we will all be in a much happier place.