They Come in Their Thousands

SAVANNAH, Ga. (AP) — They came by the thousands to vote early, descendants of slaves, children of the civil rights era and other Georgians standing in line for hours when all could have been somewhere else.

Yet in a year when issues including prejudice, racial justice and voter suppression are at the forefront, the Black voters saw giving up time to cast a ballot for the next U.S. president as worth the trade – even early in the voting process and during a pandemic that made merely going to a polling place a risky act.

Still waiting three hours after she showed up to vote in Savannah on Wednesday, Khani Morgan, 75, wasn’t taking any chances with her health months after suffering a stroke: she wore a mask and a plastic shield that covered her entire face.

But Morgan said the importance of voting was drilled into her as a girl by great-grandmother Sally Williams, who was born a slave in 1850 and lived to be more than 100. Morgan felt compelled to vote early to register her support for Democrat Joe Biden over President Donald Trump.

“I won’t let anything get in the way of me and this opportunity,” said Morgan, who coordinates an adult literacy program.

The willingness of many Black voters to queue up instead of coming back another day is a measure of their determination and their skepticism about the system. Those in Georgia acknowledged they could have voted by mail or returned to a polling place at a different time; but with no expectation of voting becoming easier in the weeks to come, they saw waiting as a necessary step to ensure their votes get counted.

Still waiting three hours after she showed up to vote in Savannah on Wednesday, Khani Morgan, 75, wasn’t taking any chances with her health months after suffering a stroke: she wore a mask and a plastic shield that covered her entire face.

But Morgan said the importance of voting was drilled into her as a girl by great-grandmother Sally Williams, who was born a slave in 1850 and lived to be more than 100. Morgan felt compelled to vote early to register her support for Democrat Joe Biden over President Donald Trump.

“I won’t let anything get in the way of me and this opportunity,” said Morgan, who coordinates an adult literacy program.

The willingness of many Black voters to queue up instead of coming back another day is a measure of their determination and their skepticism about the system. Those in Georgia acknowledged they could have voted by mail or returned to a polling place at a different time; but with no expectation of voting becoming easier in the weeks to come, they saw waiting as a necessary step to ensure their votes get counted.

Born during a pivotal year of the civil rights movement, when Black people were still fighting for the right to vote across the South, 56-year-old Donovan Stewart put on sweatpants and sneakers for comfort and prepared to wait as long as needed to vote in the Atlanta suburb of Duluth.

“Many individuals went through a lot, suffered a lot for this opportunity,” Stewart, a military retiree, said. “So I could stand in line for four hours to do my civic duty. That’s what we’re called to do, to vote and try to make a change.”

Just an Old Sweet Song

From the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, mid afternoon today:

Poll: Biden takes significant lead in Georgia for first time:

Former Vice President Joe Biden has pulled ahead of President Donald Trump in the race for president in Georgia, according to the latest poll from Quinnipiac University. With early voting already underway in the state, the poll showed Biden at 51% and Trump at 44%.

The same poll shows big jumps for the Democrats in the two races for U.S. Senate races, too, with Rev. Raphael Warnock out to a large lead in the special election against Sen. Kelly Loeffler, with Warnock pegged at 44%, U.S. Rep. Doug Collins at 22%, and Loeffler at 20%.

In the race for Sen. David Perdue’s seat, Democrat Jon Ossoff has pulled also ahead of Perdue at 51% and Perdue at about 45% in the poll. 

The Sleep of Reason Produces Monsters

Max Boot’s Question of the Day

Max Boot, who was apparently searching around for a topic ot write about, poses this rhetorical question, How can 42 percent of Americans still support the worst president in our history? His answer—which has a certain dog-bites-man feel about it—is that they are all watching Fox News and reading tweets from the nutjob cousins. Mr. Boot ends by quoting the painter Goya for the proposition quoted in the headline of this post.

Aardvark’s Question of the Day

If, as we hear over and over, Trump is tanking among the women, tanking among the college educated, tanking among the seniors, and losing ground among non-college white males, then who are the 4l.0 percent of the voters who still plan to vote for him? It’s a bit of a mystery.

Meanwhile, in West Virginia—a Little Statistical Perspective

A little statistical perspective here. Writing in my inbox this morning, Jonathan V. Last allows as how Trump is going to win West Virginia. Current polling shows him up by 23 percent.

But, in 2016, he won West Virginia by 42 points.

For the math challenged, that means he’s lost 19 points of support in the preceding four years.

Guess who those 19 percent of West Virginians are.

Another Fun Comparison

Just for fun, I did the same comparison for Alabama.

2016: Trump by 28 points over Clinton.

2020 polling (per fivethirtyeight.com poll averages): Trump up by 18 points.

One in ten 2016 Alabama Trump voters have now decided that they are tired of so much winning.

One in ten have had about as much fun as a human being can stand.

One in ten have just had enough of the Orange Man.

Conclusion

The sleep of reason does produce monsters, but the sleepers are slowing waking up.

He May be an Adulterer, But He’s OUR Adulterer

Politico, Poll: Cunningham leads in North Carolina after affair revelations:

Democrat Cal Cunningham continues to hold a lead in the North Carolina Senate race this week and has not dropped in public polling after recent revelations of an extramarital affair.

Cunningham led GOP Sen. Thom Tillis, 48 percent to 44 percent, among registered voters, according to a new survey from Monmouth University released Tuesday, maintaining an edge despite high awareness of his affair, with few voters viewing his indiscretion as disqualifying for him to serve.

Mr. Cunningham was found to have been stupping a married woman named Arlene, described as a “California-based public relations strategist.” He appears to have taken some sage “public relations strategy” from his inamorata: when asked if there were any other bimbo eruptions on the horizon, Mr. Cunningham wisely declined to comment.

The voters of North Carolina wisely declined to give a shit.

Two Recommended Reads for Today, Or, Here’s a Howdy-do

Tim Alberta, 3 More Funny Feelings About 2020

The three more funny feelings:

  1. These yard signs are telling us something.
  2. Turnout is going to make historians do a double take.
  3. A Biden blowout will divorce Trump from the GOP establishment—and quickly.

Christopher Ingraham, New research explores authoritarian mind-set of Trump’s core supporters: Data reveal high levels of anti-democratic beliefs among many of the president’s backers, who stand to be a potent voting bloc for years to come

Nothing surprising or shocking here—but a good explanation, with actual data, about the cultists’ mindset. Post based on the new book Authoritarian Nightmare by John W. Dean and Bob Altmeyer.

Alberta, Meet Ingraham; Ingraham, Meet Alberta

Alberta thinks—as do I, for what it may be worth—that there will probably be a Biden blowout, followed by loud bellowing from the West Wing, followed by a conspicuous failure by the empty-suited Republican types to endorse a Trump coup.

So far, so good.

But in the future, who is going to lead all those raving authoritarians?

There’s a fine howdy-do.

Axios Has a Scoop: “He’s Going to Kill Himself”

We know it’s a scoop, because they labeled it “Scoop.”

That would be a clue.

Scoop: Trump wants to hit campaign trail every day through election:

President Trump has asked his campaign to put him on the road every single day from now until Nov. 3.

Behind the scenes: His team is in the process of scheduling events to make that happen, two sources familiar with the discussions tell Axios. But not everyone thinks this is a good idea. One adviser said, “He’s going to kill himself.”

Why it matters: Look at the polls. Trump is in need of a rebound, and he’s betting he’s got a better chance on the move than sitting around the West Wing.

What we’re hearing: The campaign is more worried than ever that seniors — a crucial voting bloc — are abandoning Trump over his handling of the pandemic.

    • “He really f—-d up with seniors when he said not to worry about the virus and not to let it control your life,” one Trump adviser told Axios. “There are so many grandparents who’ve gone almost a year without being able to see grandchildren.”

Trump campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh tells Axios: “The president has personal experience with COVID and understands what people are going through.”

What’s next: Trump hits the trail for the first time since contracting COVID-19 tomorrow for an airport rally in Sanford, Florida, followed by stops in Pennsylvania on Tuesday and Iowa on Wednesday.

Where We Stand This Evening

The above from fivethirtyeight.com, as of October 11, 8:30 PM, Eastern time. You will notice that the Biden line is sloping up a little more steeply than the Orange Man’s line is sloping down. You will also notice that the difference between the two candidates now stands at 10.3 points. Drip, drip, drip. Drip, drip, drip.

The Wishy-Washy Low Information Undecideds are Breaking for Biden

The recent upward slope in the Biden line comports with the many news stories indicating that a majority of the wishy-washy middle ground voters are picking Biden this year.

Some Trump Voters are Doing a 180

It will be remembered that Orange Man received 46.1 percent of the vote back in 2016. Now, with a 41.9 point standing in the polls, he’s already down 4.2—a big difference in a close election.

I Offer a Modest Prediction

I will go out on a limb and make a prediction: Trump will hold lots of superspreader events in the next three weeks. At some point, his virus will come back, and he will have to be carried off stage. He will wind up with about 35 percent of the votes.

And remember, ladies and germs, my prediction is worth at least as much as you paid for it.