Congratulations, Donald! Another Milestone Passed! A New Personal Best!

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President Trump has made more than 5,000 false or misleading claims:

On Sept. 7, President Trump woke up in Billings, Mont., flew to Fargo, N.D., visited Sioux Falls, S.D., and eventually returned to Washington. He spoke to reporters on Air Force One, held a pair of fundraisers and was interviewed by three local reporters.

In that single day, he publicly made 125 false or misleading statements — in a period of time that totaled only about 120 minutes. It was a new single-day high. …

Trump’s tsunami of untruths helped push the count in The Fact Checker’s database past 5,000 on the 601st day of his presidency. That’s an average of 8.3 Trumpian claims a day, but in the past nine days — since our last update — the president has averaged 32 [false or misleading] claims a day.

Say What?

Read that last sentence again: in the last nine days, the rate of lying has increased 400 percent.

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The Law of Cause and Effect, Illustrated Graphically

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The Immediate Past

The more trouble he gets himself in, the more he lies.

The more he lies, the fewer people believe his lies.

The Near Term Future

His troubles are growing ever larger.

Accordingly, the velocity of lies will increase even further.

There will come a day when so few people believe him—even among the most deplorable of the Deplorables—that Republican politicians will stop fearing the “Trump base.”

Having ceased to fear the Trump base, Republican politicians will implore Democrats to join in enthroning President Pence.

The Big Decision

Democrats will have an interesting choice to make: impeach Trump, or just let him twist slowly, slowly in the wind?

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Flinging Bullshit Wildly, In All Directions, as a Core Political Tactic

Common sense would tell you that just flinging bullshit in all directions is not, in the final analysis, a winning strategy. Certainly, there are the uneducated, the gullible, the folks desperate to suspend belief and accept Trump as their personal savior.

But insult their intelligence long enough, and they will, slowly and reluctantly, begin to give the wrong answer to the question, Who you gonna believe, me or your lying eyes?

That’s what common sense would tell us.

No one has repealed the law of cause and effect.

Common sense is right.

Number of Americans who trust Trump over the media hits a record low

Once Again, I Ask, How’s That Faustian Bargain Workin’ Out for Ya?

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The anti-Trump backlash is gathering force. These new polls confirm it:

Three new polls this morning confirm that this anti-Trump backlash is running strong, with less than two months to go until the midterm elections:

  • A new Quinnipiac University poll finds that Democrats have opened up a 14-point lead in the battle for the House, 52-38. Voters want Congress to be more of a check on Trump by 58 percent to 27 percent.
  • A new CNN poll finds that Americans approve of special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s investigation by 50-38, a new high in CNN polling. By 61-33, Americans say it is examining a “serious matter that should be fully investigated,” as opposed to the “witch hunt” that Trump rage-tweeted about again this morning.
  • A new NPR-Marist poll finds that Democrats lead by 12 points in the battle for the House, 50-38. Trump’s approval is at 39-52, making this the fifth recent poll to put Trump below 40 percent.

Crucially, these polls all dovetail with the basic story we’ve seen throughout this cycle, which is that Trump has provoked a backlash among minorities, young people and college-educated and suburban whites, especially women — and even seemingly among independents — that has powered Democratic victories in unlikely places. The new polling finds the backlash is running strong among these groups right now:

  • The Quinnipiac poll finds Democrats leading in the generic ballot matchup by 20 points among women, by 15 points among independents, by nine points among college-educated whites (sometimes a Republican leaning group) and by enormous margins among young people, blacks and Hispanics.
  • In the Quinnipiac poll, 62 percent of women want Congress to be a check on Trump, 60 percent of independents want this, and 57 percent of college-educated whites want this.
  • The CNN poll finds that women approve of the Mueller investigation by 10 points, that independents approve of it by 14 points and that college-educated whites approve of it by 23 points.
  • The CNN poll also finds that women think the probe is a serious matter by 67-26, independents think this by 63-29, and college-educated whites think this by 66-31.
  • The Marist poll finds Democrats leading in the generic ballot match-up by 57-29 among women, by 43-36 among independents, and by 57-36 among college educated whites.