Predictions

On the day before the election, I don’t think predictions add much value to our understanding or to our peace of mind. If you want some anyway, try here or here.

Take a look at the chart above. It demonstrates that, between 1976 and 2016, voters’ opinions shifted materially, depending on events. But between 2016 and 2020, like the restored Bourbon Dynasty, about 43 percent of our population have learned nothing and they have forgotten nothing.

Entire forests have been cut down to print the books endeavoring to explain this phenomenon. But, if anyone has arrived at a fully persuasive explanation, it has not come within my radar screen. Nevertheless, it is what it is.

Meanwhile, a slim majority of our population have come to hate Trump’s guts.

Until recently, there remained a relatively small, but potentially decisive, group of possibly persuadable voters in the middle. But Trump has done nothing to persuade them. Instead, as demonstrated by my earlier posts today, he has been, rather systematically, shooting himself in the foot.

As for tomorrow, one can only say, in the immortal words of President Eisenhower, “the future lies ahead.”