Where We Stand This Evening

The above from fivethirtyeight.com, as of October 11, 8:30 PM, Eastern time. You will notice that the Biden line is sloping up a little more steeply than the Orange Man’s line is sloping down. You will also notice that the difference between the two candidates now stands at 10.3 points. Drip, drip, drip. Drip, drip, drip.

The Wishy-Washy Low Information Undecideds are Breaking for Biden

The recent upward slope in the Biden line comports with the many news stories indicating that a majority of the wishy-washy middle ground voters are picking Biden this year.

Some Trump Voters are Doing a 180

It will be remembered that Orange Man received 46.1 percent of the vote back in 2016. Now, with a 41.9 point standing in the polls, he’s already down 4.2—a big difference in a close election.

I Offer a Modest Prediction

I will go out on a limb and make a prediction: Trump will hold lots of superspreader events in the next three weeks. At some point, his virus will come back, and he will have to be carried off stage. He will wind up with about 35 percent of the votes.

And remember, ladies and germs, my prediction is worth at least as much as you paid for it.