Humpty Dumpty Had a Great Fall

Humpty Dumpty cracked

Good morning, everyone. As we all reflect on the Bonfire of Trump’s Vanity, let’s head over, once again, to fivethirtyeight.com.

And what do we find? We find that, in the weighted poll of polls, Trump’s disapproval (53.9 percent) now exceeds his approval (41.7 percent) by a whopping 12.2 points.

You will, I hope, recall that the corresponding number at the end of March was only 4 points. Now it’s 12.2 points, and rising pretty much every day.

THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN MINORITIES TRY TO OPPRESS MAJORITIES

As I have repeatedly observed, about one quarter to one third of our population

  • feel grievously oppressed, because their ability to oppress others has been greatly weakened,
  • feel aggrieved by pretty much everything that has happened since 1750,
  • want to coopt the government to oppress their opponents—the majority of the population, by force if necessary, and maybe by force preferentially, and
  • think, or thought, that they had found God’s Anointed latter day King Cyrus to do that very thing.

What is happening right now is the inevitable denouement of the Southern Strategy devised by Richard Nixon.

But here’s what all good Southerners know: if you put on your suit and your white shoes, and you walk across the cow pasture, no matter how carefully you walk, when you come to the other side there’s going to be some brown on those white shoes.

For years and years, the respectable folks at the country club have been walking across that racist pasture, and they have been getting more and more brown on their white shoes.

Or, let’s change, the metaphor. For years and years, Humpty Dumpty has been sitting precariously on that wall. This week, the inevitable is happening. See this from the New York Times, Vote for Trump? These Republican Leaders Aren’t on the Bandwagon: Former President George W. Bush and Senator Mitt Romney won’t support Mr. Trump’s re-election. Colin Powell will vote for Joe Biden, and other G.O.P. officials may do the same.

Trump, who knows no limits, just went too far.

And his bully boy supporters among the police just went too far.

This is what happens when you reach the end of the line for the Southern Strategy. This is what happens when you rile up the rubes.

The majority is mad as hell, and we are not going to take it anymore.

And the coalition that kept Humpty Dumpty precariously poised on that wall is falling apart.

Yes, the smaller part of the old Republican coalition will side with the majority, at least on the advisability of using bullets and police dogs on peaceful protesters.

And the 25 to 33 percent of our population will just have to marinate in their own rancid thinking, at least for a season.