Up, Up, and Away!

It was May 14 when we last looked at fivethirtyeight.com’s weighted poll of polls. On that day, Trump disapprovers outnumbered approvers by 8.4 points.

As of today, the comparable number is 10.5 points. That’s apples to apples, looking at the data set for “all polls.”

When we look today at the narrower, and perhaps more accurate, weighted average of polls limited to “likely or registered voters,” the number in 10.6 points.

Orange Man is twisting slowly, slowly in the wind.