In late September, the NBC News/Wall Street Journal post asked some questions about how voters liked (or disliked) Trump “personally”—and how that compared to their positive or negative views about “his policies.” Here is what they found:
The headline that came out of the poll was that 29 percent of us like Trump while 69 percent of us hate his guts—though about two fifths of those who hate his guts nevertheless “approve of most of his policies.”
Interestingly, however, the number of us who like him personally and “approve of most of his policies is only 25 percent.”
Now let us roll the tape forward from late September to today, and what, ladies and germs, do we find? Well, in the latest Politico/Morning Consult poll we find lots of things, including this little nugget: “A majority of voters support Congress’ current impeachment proceedings, but nearly a quarter say there is nothing President Trump could do that would cause them to support impeaching him and removing him from office, including 49 percent of Republicans.”
Are these 24 percent of voters essentially the same folks as the 25 percent of voters who say they like Trump personally and approve of what he is doing?
Yes, ladies and germs, these are the selfsame folks. They are the unregenerate tribalists, the folks who have drunk the Kool-Aid, the folks who are still going to keep on drinking the Kool-Aid, come what may.
So now we know.
And here is something else we know. To date, all of Trump’s defenses rest on appeals to tribalism. Trump’s argument boils down to “It’s not impeachable if I do it, because l’etat c’est moi.” And he doesn’t just imply that. He’s saying it in words of one syllable. Over and over. Very loudly.
Meanwhile, a large number of Republican and independent voters are pretty clearly open to hearing a debate along the lines of the Clinton impeachment debate: maybe it was bad, but was it impeachably bad? And where are we going to draw that line?
Logically, that is the argument we should be having. And perhaps it the argument we will be having.
But for now, as long as we are not even having that debate, the pragmatic case for and against impeachment boils down to,